Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.334041 0.438218 0.552064 0.683868 0.830598 0.987484 1.166543
2025-09-07 0.187731 0.321445 0.485313 0.691514 0.936402 1.211772 1.539280
2025-09-14 0.111977 0.249267 0.435346 0.684549 0.993559 1.351929 1.788354
2025-09-21 0.059567 0.188574 0.385478 0.666317 1.028669 1.460274 1.996254
2025-09-28 0.039356 0.168921 0.385184 0.706634 1.131522 1.645506 2.290821
2025-10-05 0.027020 0.157710 0.393916 0.756765 1.245227 1.842869 2.599158
2025-10-12 0.016516 0.143723 0.395080 0.794277 1.341248 2.017668 2.879917
2025-10-19 0.011596 0.140824 0.412988 0.854723 1.466735 2.228587 3.204054
2025-10-26 0.006707 0.132997 0.420772 0.899533 1.571017 2.412891 3.495962
2025-11-02 0.001827 0.114166 0.405730 0.908767 1.626617 2.535561 3.712551
2025-11-09 NaN 0.080220 0.354545 0.858912 1.599357 2.551731 3.797519
2025-11-16 NaN 0.050885 0.302088 0.801033 1.556968 2.545667 3.852691
2025-11-23 NaN 0.034503 0.273373 0.780596 1.568479 2.612172 4.002793
2025-11-30 NaN 0.026108 0.262225 0.788828 1.620917 2.732564 4.221392
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017128 0.243471 0.781353 1.649036 2.819915 4.397532
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009084 0.219612 0.761799 1.657813 2.880731 4.539564
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008562 0.229178 0.805021 1.760297 3.066402 4.839906
2025-12-28 NaN 0.009008 0.244091 0.858655 1.878620 3.273455 5.167668
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008255 0.251989 0.898717 1.976540 3.453319 5.461052
2026-01-11 NaN 0.009613 0.272365 0.963155 2.111451 3.682933 5.817946
2026-01-18 NaN 0.009506 0.284103 1.010838 2.221130 3.878865 6.132181
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006508 0.276619 1.020656 2.273347 3.997689 6.348312
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001418 0.238936 0.967615 2.228239 3.984559 6.395418